Archive for October, 2007

Hybrid Hopes

Wednesday, October 31st, 2007

Interesting article about the effort to come up with the Toyota Prius, and hopes of new non-fossil fuel automobiles.

Creating a hybrid would demand excruciating labor, and management had moved up the deadline to 1997. The engineering obstacles were tremendous, especially the development of the hybrid battery, which must deliver power and recharge in spurts as the car is being driven.

Uchiyamada ditched the usual back-up plans and multiple scenarios, focusing his team on one plan at a time and moving on when each failed.

As Uchiyamada tells it, the Prius wasn’t the kind of car Toyota would have ever approved as a project, if standard decision-making had been followed. It was sure to be a money loser for years.

Conventional wisdom was wrong; Toyota’s once skeptical rivals are now all busy making hybrids.

The Frankfurt auto show in August had hybrids galore.

Hybrid Hopes

CA Environmental Legislation

Wednesday, October 31st, 2007

Jared Huffman is Marin/Sonoma counties’ offering to the California State Assembly. In his first session he’s managed to get quite a few bills of environmental interest all the way through to Governor’s signature. Not bad for a freshman.

“Passing these types of reforms is the reason I ran for office,” said Huffman. “These bills represent the values of my district and I’m honored to have them put into law.”

* AB 1109 - Energy Efficient Lighting
One of the most important pieces of legislation this year, this bill directs the California Energy Commission to reduce California’s consumption of electricity for lighting uses by 50% in 10 years. As part of this strategy, the bill would phase out the purchase of inefficient lighting sources by state government. It also establishes mercury and lead reduction standards for lighting.

* AB 1470 - Solar Thermal
This breakthrough legislation creates a ten-year statewide incentive program to drive half a million California consumers toward solar heating technologies that directly displace the use of natural gas for water and space heating in homes and businesses.

* AB 1406 - Recycled water - Condos
This bill encourages water reuse by permitting the use of recycled water in condominiums, as it is currently used in apartment buildings.

* AB 1560 - Water Conservation - Building Standards
Creates an important new standard of water conservation by requiring the Energy Commission to prescribe water preservation standards for new residential and non-residential buildings.

You can see the entire list in his October newsletter, here.

AB 1470, about Solar Thermal, is here and you can look up any of them here.

Earthquake

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Anyone feel it? Odd low rumbling in Corte Madera just after eight o’clock…

Map

Greenland Cabbage

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Hovering around this feel-good story about growing vegetables for the first time in hundreds of years in Greenland is a damn gloomy aura.

A Greenlandic supermarket is stocking locally grown cauliflower, broccoli and cabbage this year for the first time. Eight sheep farmers are growing potatoes commercially. Five more are experimenting with vegetables. And Kenneth Hoeg, the region’s chief agriculture adviser, says he does not see why southern Greenland cannot eventually be full of vegetable farms and viable forests.

Farther north, Greenland’s great ice sheet, a vast white landscape of 0.695 million square miles covering 80 percent of the island’s land mass, is melting rapidly, alarmingly, with repercussions not only for the traditional way of life on an island of 56,000 people, but also for the rest of the world. The more the ice melts, the higher sea levels will eventually rise.


Flora and Fauna

The Great Pacific Garbage Patch

Tuesday, October 30th, 2007

Update Below

“The Great Pacific Garbage Patch is a heap of debris floating in the Pacific that’s twice the size of Texas, according to marine biologists. It is 80 percent plastics and weighs some 3.5 million tons, floating where few people ever travel, in a no-man’s land between San Francisco and Hawaii.”

Great Pacific Garbage Patch

The problem has been growing for years, in the Pacific most notably but in other oceans and bays as well.

PlasticDebris.org , Algalita Marine Research and GreenPeace are good resources.

Plastic on Environment

The SF Chronicle covers the Great Pacific Garbage Patch on Tuesday 30th, including a few remarks from National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) about the possible clean up.

The Gun

Monday, October 29th, 2007

The day was still crumbling from the night before. From five hours earlier, at three-thirty in the morning, the white moths of exhaustion fluttering in their eyes, they had not been able to continue and so, despite the seven driven hours behind them, and the wedge of many months riven between them, they had climbed into the same bed as they had for thirteen years. There was no place else to go in the small house, and the wedge was by then familiar, no longer sharp and painful, of loathing, but of heavy, dull exhaustion, thickening and making more endurable the sharp air between them. And as they had for thirteen years they lay beside each other for a few minutes before disappearing into one of Ali Baba’s forty doors, though that night they didn’t speculate in dark lazy whispers about which they might be visiting. Neither had reached out to take the other’s hand before departure.

Now they were back. He was at the kitchen table, the night behind him, as was the pulled shut bedroom door; she, and the sink, and the unfiltered brightness of the morning were before. He lowered his forearms to the table.

Don’t leave, Jo, he said. There was a long expanse of silence and then a cup touched the bottom of the worn porcelain sink. Don’t start Fran, she said. He drew a breath down deep to his belly as though to help his next thought out, but the tight constriction of his throat stopped him:

Just don’t start. (more…)

New Auto Battery Charging Network?

Monday, October 29th, 2007

Shai Agassi, a tested Silicon Valley entrepreneur and proven big-bucks gatherer, has a plan to interfere with the chicken-egg problem with electric cars.

“[He] wants to deploy an infrastructure of battery-charging stations in the United States, Europe and the developing world.

The new system will sell electric fuel on a subscription basis and will subsidize vehicle costs through leases and credits.

“We’re basically saying this is just like the cellular phone model,” he said. “If you think of Tesla as the iPhone, we’re AT&T.”

He’s raised $200 million to prove his concept.

“In an interview Thursday, Mr. Agassi said tests of prototype vehicles would start in early 2008 and the company would begin commercial sales and service in two years. He said he was working to obtain commitments from both governments and carmakers.”

Interesting. But at 1 minute per-mile-driven to charge, it strikes me as being a tough sell. I can fill my Prius, good for 400 miles, in about 10 minutes. 400 minutes to do the same is 6.6 hours.

The second part of Agassi’s plan, to have battery swap stations, would allow faster “fill-ups” but would inevitably be more expensive. Depending again on the battery configuration a swap could take longer than five to ten minutes, and would almost certainly not be “self-service.” Waiting a half an hour or more for new batteries, even at a predicted savings of 2/3 the price of gasoline, is a significant disincentive. Controlling battery quality and age would seem to be a problem as well.

On the other hand, with such a chain of stations in place, when the necessary improvements in battery technology finally arrive there will be a way to distribute them.


New Electrical Distribution Chain

Another Solar Crank

Saturday, October 27th, 2007

Well, I don’t think I’d like living next to Solar Richard but his monomania is paying off on the Tacoma Narrows Bridge.

At Mr. Thompson’s urging, the new mile-long Tacoma Narrows Bridge is on its way to being lighted with solar power, a project toward which the state has contributed $1.5 million. And if all goes as planned, there will be electricity left over to feed back into the city’s power supply.

Solar Richard

Berkeley Goes Solar

Friday, October 26th, 2007

“Berkeley is set to become the first city in the nation to help thousands of its residents generate solar power without having to put money up front - attempting to surmount one of the biggest hurdles for people who don’t have enough cash to go green.

The City Council will vote Nov. 6 on a plan for the city to finance the cost of solar panels for property owners who agree to pay it back with a 20-year assessment on their property. Over two decades, the taxes would be the same or less than what property owners would save on their electric bills, officials say.”

“This is how Berkeley’s program would work:

A property owner would hire a city-approved solar installer, who would determine the best solar system for the property, depending on energy use. Most residential solar panel systems in the city cost from $15,000 to $20,000.

The city would pay the contractor for the system and its installation, minus any applicable state and federal rebates, and would add an assessment to the property owner’s tax bill to pay for the system.

The extra tax would include administrative fees and interest, which would be lower than what the property owner could obtain on his own, because the city would secure low-interest bonds and loans, officials say. The tax would stay with the property even if the owner sold, although the owner would have to leave the solar panels.

The property owner would save money on monthly Pacific Gas & Electric bill because electricity generated by the solar panels would partly replace electricity delivered by the utility.”


Berkeley Goes Solar

Average Daily Temperature

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

No Global Warming? Take a look.

CO2 Rise is Faster

Tuesday, October 23rd, 2007

“Carbon dioxide emissions were 35 percent higher in 2006 than in 1990, a much faster growth rate than anticipated, researchers led by Josep G. Canadell, of Australia’s Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization, report in Tuesday’s edition of Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

Increased industrial use of fossil fuels coupled with a decline in the gas absorbed by the oceans and land were listed as causes of the increase.

”In addition to the growth of global population and wealth, we now know that significant contributions to the growth of atmospheric CO2 arise from the slowdown” of nature’s ability to take the chemical out of the air, said Canadell, director of the Global Carbon Project at the research organization.”

“Kevin Trenberth of the climate analysis section of the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo. said the ”paper raises some very important issues that the public should be aware of: Namely that concentrations of CO2 are increasing at much higher rates than previously expected and this is in spite of the Kyoto Protocol that is designed to hold them down in western countries,”

Alan Robock, associate director of the Center for Environmental Prediction at Rutgers University, added: ”What is really shocking is the reduction of the oceanic CO2 sink,” meaning the ability of the ocean to absorb carbon dioxide, removing it from the atmosphere.”


CO2 Increasing

Sorry, none of the articles available on line have a direct link to the study itself.

Fires Hit California

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

Update below.

We’ve been keeping you abreast of the evil twins of drought and fire this late summer. Idaho and Montana have been under continuous siege. 2007 is now the second worst fire season in recorded history, led only by 2005. ["60 Minutes" took a look last night.] Now the news strikes home in California. Sunday the news began with of Malibu. [It is still 100% not controlled.] This morning 7 big Southern California counties are being affected:

Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, Santa Barbara, and Ventura.

Fires

Meanwhile, the South East, from Virginia to Louisiana, is banning outdoor watering and water intensive businesses, like nurseries, are in trouble. See this cool mouse-roll-over map for a quick look.

Up in the Great Lakes, water level is down by 7 inches with all sorts of implications for life, commercial and environmental.

Update on Fires

The National Interagency Fire Center has updates and names for all the SoCal fires. Nursing homes are being evacuated in some areas.

Update II

Nasa pic of fires

NASA Picture of Fires in California

[thx Ruth Friend]

Green Business

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

“Venture capital firms poured nearly $900 million - a record - into U.S. startups developing clean and green energy systems in the three months that ended Sept. 30, according to a report out today.

The total flow of dollars to all U.S. startups - $8.07 billion - rose 8 percent compared with the same three months last year, and the energy category soared 28 percent, according to data furnished by the San Francisco office of Dow Jones Venture One.

“It’s exciting to see so much energy, pardon the pun, into that space,” said Carl Guardino, president of the Silicon Valley Leadership Group, which counts more than 100 firms in the region working in some facet of alternative power generation or waste reduction.”

VCs Like Green

Of course as Robert Reich reminds us, this is not to be counted as altruism.

Al Gore’s campaign against global warming, for which he just received the Nobel Peace Prize, has encouraged many corporations to “go green” and become environmentally friendly. But do these companies deserve to be praised? And can we rely on corporations to lead the way on global warming? The answer is: No and no.

Reich on Super Capitalism

At the risk of being an anti curmudgeon I would point out that while praise for sacrifice and altruism is not due. There is no need to get all tingly because the rich and powerful have joined our movement. However, praise for being smart, and saving money is fine, and let’s give it. Frankly, I don’t care if “TXU, a big Texas power company, …cut the number of coal-fired plants it was going to build because Goldman anticipates stricter regulations of coal-fired plants,” and not because the CEO was worried about butterfly habitats. I still say, smart move!

Great Lakes Shrinking

Monday, October 22nd, 2007

We’ve posted before in these pages news about the Great Lakes’ own drought. Of course it isn’t the same as the drought in the South East which is putting the drinking water for Atlanta in peril but it is a decrease in water levels nonetheless.

Water levels in the Great Lakes are falling; Lake Ontario, for example, is about seven inches below where it was a year ago. And for every inch of water that the lakes lose, the ships that ferry bulk materials across them must lighten their loads by 270 tons — or 540,000 pounds — or risk running aground, according to the Lake Carriers’ Association, a trade group for United States-flag cargo companies.

The water levels in all five Great Lakes — Superior, Michigan, Huron, Erie and Ontario — are below long-term averages and are likely to stay that way until at least March, according to the Army Corps of Engineers. (The same is true at Lake St. Clair, which straddles the border between the state of Michigan and the province of Ontario and is between Lake Huron and Lake Erie; it is not considered one of the Great Lakes, although it is part of the Great Lakes system.)

Most environmental researchers say that low precipitation, mild winters and high evaporation, due largely to a lack of heavy ice covers to shield cold lake waters from the warmer air above, are depleting the lakes. The Great Lakes follow a natural cycle, their levels rising in the spring, peaking in the summer and reaching a low in the winter, as the evaporation rate rises.

In the past two years, evaporation has been higher than average, and not enough rain and snow have fallen in the upper lakes — Superior, Michigan and Huron — which supply water to the lower lakes, to restore the system to its normal levels…

Great Lakes Shrink

Solar Decathlon Winners

Saturday, October 20th, 2007

The very interesting Solar Decathlon — ten requirements each contestant had to satisfy — announced the winners today.

Solar Decathlon House

Overall
First Place: Technische Universität Darmstadt

This team from Germany came to the Solar Decathlon hoping to have an impact on people, and it’s safe to say that this happened. Darmstadt won the Architecture, Lighting, and Engineering contests. The Architecture Jury said the house pushed the envelope on all levels and is the type of house they came to the Decathlon hoping to see. The Lighting Jury loved the way this house glows at night. The Engineering Jury gave this team an innovation score that was as high as you could go, and said nobody did the integration of the PV system any better

Check out all the winners…

Fire Watch

Saturday, October 20th, 2007

Well, 2007 has finally squeezed past 2005 as the second most destructive wild-fire year in the U.S. for the decade in recorded history, leaving 2006 in the lead. That means the three most destructive years — as measured by acres burned — are the last three. Fires follow drought, follow forest ill-health, follow lightning (mostly) and human causes. Drought increasing — unless you live in northeast India / Pakstan or across the throat of Africa where your choice is flood.

8,284,271 Acres Burned

Update:

60 Minutes took on the fires in the west the Sunday [excuse the ads]

The lead is that these are “mega fires, ten times as big as the fires we’re used to seeing.” The fires in 2006 I mention above, and link to, are “the most severe in recorded history.” (I assume he means in the US.)

Tom Bodner, the Chief of Fire Operatons for the Feds, says of the Ketchum Idaho fire this summer, that 10 - 15 years ago a fire of its size and intensity would have been extremely rare. “They’re commonplace these days.” Ten years ago a 100,000 acre fire was rare. Today a 200,000 acre fire is a regular day…. In 2007 there have been two fires over 500,000 acres.

Seven of the ten busiest fire seasons since 1967 have happened in the past 8 years.

Tree ring analysis shows that recent decades have been the hottest in one thousand years. In addition there have been more fires at higher elevation. Spring has been coming earlier every year, the snow melting and water running off. The fire season in the last fifteen years has increased by over two months, in the western US.

The megafires burn so hot, and are so big it is possible that some will never grow back. Up to half the forests in the west may become other types of ecosystems.

Says Bodner: You won’t find anyone on the fire lines in the American West who doesn’t believe in climate change. We’ve been seeing changes in temperature and humidity and drought that is different than anything we’ve seen in our life times.

Update II Fires sweeping through Malibu Sunday. Doubled in size in an hour. Santa Ana winds + the dryest summer on record. Another fire to the north in the Angeles mountains.

CBS on Malibu

Greenland Ice Melting

Friday, October 19th, 2007

Of all the arctic ice melts that should worry the world Greenland has to be in first place. If ice floating in water melts, sea levels do not rise. If ice on land melts and that water joins the ocean — big problems.

“The rate of melting [in Greenland] is just phenomenal,” said Robert Correll, chairman of the Arctic Climate Impact Assessment, an international scientific monitoring project. “We’re adding freshwater to the ocean at a much more rapid rate than predicted” by the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s most recent estimates, which are based on data through 2005.

Studies show that Greenland is undergoing a rapid meltdown, one with severe consequences for global sea-level rise and the 56,000 people who live on the world’s largest island. Scientists report that glaciers draining the ice cap are picking up speed, while Arctic sea ice shrank this summer to its smallest extent on record, defying computer models that suggested such changes would not occur for decades.

“Arctic sea ice looks like it’s reached the tipping point,” said Robert Bindschadler, a polar ice expert at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Md. “The suddenness of these changes we’ve seen in the Arctic over the past five years have really startled us, and we’ve been struggling to understand what is going on.” …

Scientists say the accelerated melt will have decidedly negative effects for the globe, as it is certain to boost sea levels. The most recent assessment by the U.N. climate change panel forecast a surge of between 8 inches and 2 feet by 2100, but scientists say the rapidly melting ice in Greenland and Antarctica have already rendered those estimates obsolete.

Correll, who was in Greenland last month, described one such effect at work on the island. Just a few years ago, scientists didn’t think meltwater could penetrate to the bottom of the ice sheet, but in recent years that’s exactly what moulins have done.

“These holes have been built by all this swirling, melting water, and they are going straight to the base, where the water lubricates the bottom,” he said. “It’s as if we put oil on the bottom of the ice, so it’s moving much more rapidly.”

As for sea-level rise, Correll said most scientists in the field would argue that it will be “the upper part of a meter” (3 feet 3 inches) this century, roughly twice the current estimates, though nobody knows exactly how the Greenland ice sheet will behave as water intrudes underneath.

“We can’t discount the possibility of an abrupt change, the equivalent of a sudden avalanche of snow,” Correll said. “We don’t think that will happen here, but there are these possibilities.”

Greenland Ice Melt

Drought in the South

Tuesday, October 16th, 2007

“For the first time in more than 100 years, much of the Southeast has reached the most severe category of drought, climatologists said Monday, creating an emergency so serious that some cities are just months away from running out of water.”

“Officials in the central North Carolina town of Siler City estimate that without rain, they are 80 days from draining the Lower Rocky River Reservoir, which supplies water for the town’s 8,200 people.

In the Atlanta metropolitan area, which has more than four million people, worst-case analyses show that the city’s main source of water, Lake Lanier, could be drained dry in 90 to 121 days.”


Dought in the South

Monitoring Local CO2 Emissions

Monday, October 15th, 2007

Count me as enlightened. I had no idea that current measurements of CO2 and other GHG (green house gas) were designed to filter out local effects. New initiatives are changing that.

In a first-of-its kind experiment, a group of university and government scientists has begun to monitor greenhouse gases in the air above San Francisco.

With probes stuck high on Sutro Tower, they are trying to understand whether the state’s aggressive anti-warming laws are working. They also want to judge how accurately air experts have estimated emissions from power plants, farms, factories and cars and trucks.

GHG Above SF

Death by Car

Friday, October 12th, 2007

In this terrifying news ..

A revolution is taking place in India that could change what most of the world drives.

Rush hour in New Delhi. Analysts expect more cars to join or replace the 65 million scooters on India’s roads, with new ultra-affordable cars leading the boom.

Next fall, the Indian automaker Tata Motors is scheduled to introduce its long-awaited People’s Car, with a sticker price of about $2,500. Hot on its tail may be as many as half a dozen new ultra-affordable vehicles — some from the world’s leading carmakers, including Toyota and Renault-Nissan.

Millions of New Cars